Earnings
Thursday, April 11th 2019
Sign Up For The Premium Earnings Report
Sign Up For The Premium Earnings Report
Summary
The ORATS Premium Earnings Report provides weekly signals for stocks that meet certain filters and are expected to outperform or underperform based on the Adjusted Straddle Price. The report includes results from last season and a sample report from this season. The premium version selection criteria were updated midway through the last earnings season and produced consistent results. The report covers 764 total stocks, with 15% having signals. Buy signals were correct 48% of the time with a net return of 0.7%, while sell signals were correct 74% of the time with a net return of 1.8%. The report is available for $100 per month billed quarterly, with no trial available.
The Premium Earnings report comes out weekly with SIGNALS for the stocks that meet the filters and indicating an expected outperform or underperform on the expected move implied by the Adjusted Straddle Price.
You can download the results from last season's earnings HERE.
You can download a sample report from this season's earnings HERE.
The ORATS Earnings Report Premium version utilizes sophisticated measures to identify stocks set to move more or less than predicted by the straddle price.
The premium version selection criteria were updated midway through the last earnings season. The results are partially on stocks where we knew the outcome and partially on stocks where the results were not yet out. The results were consistent after the criteria were set.
As seen in the results output from the download above, there were 50 buy signals and 62 sell signals out of 764 total stocks covered in the ORATS filters. In other words, 15% of the stocks had signals.
Buy signals were correct 48% of the time with a net return of 0.7%. Sell signals were correct 74% of the time with a net return of 1.8%. The net return is the actual move minus the Adjusted Straddle Price divided by the stock price. For example, AAL had an actual move after earnings announcement of $1.74 and Adjusted Straddle Price of $2.56. The sell signal produced a correct signal in the amount of $0.82 divided by the stock price of $54.79 or 1.5%.
Note that we capped large moves at 5% to avoid having the outliers influencing the results too greatly. For example, ABBV had a buy signal that was correct and the 11% net outperform Move-Straddle% was reduced to 5% to determine the overall buy average return.
SIGN UP HERE! Only $100 per month billed quarterly. Sorry, no trial for this one as earnings season is short.
Disclaimer:
The opinions and ideas presented herein are for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed to represent trading or investment advice tailored to your investment objectives. You should not rely solely on any content herein and we strongly encourage you to discuss any trades or investments with your broker or investment adviser, prior to execution. None of the information contained herein constitutes a recommendation that any particular security, portfolio, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Option trading and investing involves risk and is not suitable for all investors.
All opinions are based upon information and systems considered reliable, but we do not warrant the completeness or accuracy, and such information should not be relied upon as such. We are under no obligation to update or correct any information herein. All statements and opinions are subject to change without notice.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. We do not, will not and cannot guarantee any specific outcome or profit. All traders and investors must be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment discussed herein.
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