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Tuesday, May 25th 2021

Matt Amberson Joins Russell Rhodes On The Advisors Option

Listen to The Options Insider Advisor's Option podcast covering inflation, sector implied volatility valuation, and backtesting calls and puts for use in scanning.

Summary

Matt Amberson of ORATS and Russell Rhodes of EQD discuss inflation, sector implied volatility valuation, and backtesting calls and puts for use in scanning on The Advisors Option podcast hosted by Mark Longo of The Options Insider.

Mark Longo of The Options Insider hosted Matt Amberson of ORATS and Russell Rhodes of EQD today on the Advisors Option podcast.

Matt started off by mentioning the action in gold, silver and crypto may have something to do with inflation rearing its head and the Fed having to adapt to counteract the effects.

A lively conversation ensued and Russell tied in the inflation motif in his sector analysis of implied volatility levels. The over and undervalued sectors mentioned by Russell were closely reflected in ORATS table on valuation below:

 

Sectors most exposed to inflation, consumers, materials, banking and energy have the highest implied volatility percentile compared to their components. ORATS has shown this measurement to be instrumental in judging the valuation of implieds for the ETFs.

Next, the show turned its focus to earnings. We puzzled over the lack of return options buyers have experienced this earnings season and over the year.

The first table bottom right shows the total actual moves at earnings announcement compared to implied from options prices. Usually, this number is near the bottom right historical measurement between 90% to 100%. This quarter and year have been consistently below 80%.

Our last big topic was a strategy tested on EliteTrader by a patron who sold way out-of-the-money calls based on a historical volatility valuation. ORATS recreated this analysis comparing historical volatility forecasts of options to their prices. 

 

Using the Wheel Scanner, 473  stocks meeting liquidity parameters are included and options are gathered and sorted by F%, forecast valuation. For example, the top overvalued stock with an 85% valuation was the ASML June 520 put expiring in 25 days. 

Watch for the podcast to air soon at https://www.theoptionsinsider.com/shows/advisors/

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The opinions and ideas presented herein are for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed to represent trading or investment advice tailored to your investment objectives. You should not rely solely on any content herein and we strongly encourage you to discuss any trades or investments with your broker or investment adviser, prior to execution. None of the information contained herein constitutes a recommendation that any particular security, portfolio, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Option trading and investing involves risk and is not suitable for all investors.

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The opinions and ideas presented herein are for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed to represent trading or investment advice tailored to your investment objectives. You should not rely solely on any content herein and we strongly encourage you to discuss any trades or investments with your broker or investment adviser, prior to execution. None of the information contained herein constitutes a recommendation that any particular security, portfolio, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Option trading and investing involves risk and is not suitable for all investors. For more information please see our disclaimer.
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